Nfl Betting Line Movement Analysis For Week 7
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The Cardinals revived a moribund running game, for one game at least, against the Cowboys’ highly porous run defense Monday night. Kenyan Drake rumbled for 164 yards and two touchdowns, punctuating the performance with a 69-yard scoring scamper late against what looked like a disinterested Dallas front seven. That helped offset Kyler Murray‘s atrocious 37.5 percent completion rate. Seattle has gotten to 5-0 with victory margins of 13, five, seven, eight and one point. The defense continues to be a concern, with the Seahawks having given up between 23 and 31 points in each contest. The ‘Hawks have been particularly vulnerable through the air, allowing an NFL-high 370.4 passing yards per game.
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Philadelphia’s approach to moving the ball has crossed over from inconsistent to downright annoying. After an opening-drive touchdown, the Eagles only picked up one more first down until the middle of the third quarter. But once it was a three-score game, they marched downfield on their final three possessions and cut the deficit to six.
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On the other side of the ball, Tom Brady should be able to pick apart a Detroit defense that allowed Ryan Tannehill to rack up five total touchdowns last week. The Lions have allowed 31.1 points per game, the most in the NFL. The Buccaneers will be hoping to get Ronald Jones back from the COVID-19 list this week, as the RB has compiled 900 yards and 6 touchdowns this season. Jones would join Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Antonio Brown is one of the best receiving corps in football. Tampa is on a crash course to make some real noise in the playoffs, and they’re going to stomp all over a struggling Lions team.
The last time the Raiders beat the Dolphins Profit Margin Formula was in 2007, a victory that, ironically, was played in Miami. The Giants may be able to move the ball against Washington which is horrendous on defense. Part of the defense’s troubles occur on third down in the final minutes of a half or game.
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The struggles of its defense aren’t exactly helping generate opportunities to run a informative post balanced attack. The Jags are now allowing 270.7 passing yards and 143.8 rushing yards per game. Gardner Minshew, James Robinson, D.J. Chark and Keelan Cole are producing some serviceable numbers on the offensive side, but the latter three are often at the mercy of the former’s inconsistent play. Minshew completed a season-low 56.8% of his passes in Week 6, and he’s thrown at least one interception in four of his last five games. Carolina has been without No. 1 running back Christian McCaffrey for three games now, and big surprise, the Panthers have lost three consecutive tilts.
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Miami also has one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL that went into Week 6 as Football Outsiders’ fifth-worst unit in terms of pass-blocking. A lack of protection is not what Tagovailoa needs as he transitions to his second offensive system in as many years and attempts to overcome a murky injury history. A matchup against the Falcons, who rank third-worst in the NFL in defensive DVOA, will help Tagovailoa get back on track, mainly if he can get some of his skill position players back in the lineup. The Broncos got some positive news on the injury front as Jerry Jeudy might be available to play on Thursday.
Add to that the loss of George Fant to a season-ending ACL injury and the prognosis for new running back Eddie Lacy doesn’t look good. Wide receiver Doug Baldwin is one of the league’s most underrated and quarterback Russell Wilson is healthy after battling nagging injuries all last season. After an unbeaten preseason, the Seattle Seahawks travel to an unfriendly place – Lambeau Field – for a Week 1 matchup with the Green Bay Packers. Both teams are favorites to win their divisions, Seattle the NFC West and Green Bay the NFC North. Packers QB Aaron Rodgers is a favorite to capture his third MVP award coming off a 2016 season in which he once again eclipsed 4,000 yards passing to go with 40 touchdown passes.
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More importantly, Dallas was without LT Tyron Smith who sat out the Atlanta game due to back and groin injuries. As a result, Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott was sacked eight times, six by Atlanta DE Adrian Clayborn. The Texans’ defense lost two of biggest stars, DE J.J. Watt and OLB Whitney Mercilus, in Game 5 of the season. Then, the offense lost rookie quarterback sensation Deshaun Watson.
Meanwhile, the Chiefs are 4-0 to the Over when allowing less than 15 points in the previous game. The line seems a bit short knowing what these offenses are capable of. They’ve also owned that AFC North by covering the spread in eight of their last nine games against division opponents.